专家:美国在全球播种混乱 外交失败叹为观止

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专家:美国在全球播种混乱 外交失败叹为观止

美国外交成绩单惨不忍睹

李海东

奥巴马任职5年有余,其外交实践之惨状令人叹为观止:7年5个月的伊拉克战争带来的是一个与“基地”组织关联的激进反政府武装占领北部数省的结局和一个更亲近伊朗的伊拉克政府;13年的阿富汗战争带来的是不得不与塔利班谈判的美国和一个依然仇视美国的阿富汗;美国全力诋毁的巴沙尔在叙利亚再次高票当选总统;被美国一度界定为争取“自由”的“阿拉伯之春”运动带来的是中东、北非、西亚更为激烈的反美潮;因乌克兰危机而全力孤立俄罗斯的美国发现俄欧之间走得越来越近;因肆无忌惮地支持欠缺历史反思与右倾化政治力量领导的日本,“亚太再平衡”战略变成支持日本军国主义复活的战略。美国全球“混乱播种机”的“捣蛋”形象逐渐确立,改变恐怕是难了。

这张惨不忍睹的外交成绩单折射出美国实力总体衰退及战略思维的僵化。两场耗时长、代价高的战争与一场席卷全球的金融危机事实上已严重侵蚀美国自身实力,印证着保罗?肯尼迪在《大国的兴衰》一书中关于“军事过度扩张导致帝国衰落”的宿命主题。美国国内愈演愈烈的党派“极化”恶斗更为世人提供了糟糕的“民主样板”,而海外虐囚丑闻及“棱镜门”事件,更是实质性削弱着美国的软实力。客观而言,美国确实到了对基本失败的全球外交进行反思,并对其政治与经济体系进行综合变革的时刻。

在各国安全不可分割成为时代大趋势的背景下,美国依然故我地做着“联盟梦”,执拗地在安全层面撕裂世界。过去20年内的三轮北约扩大已通过美国制造的“俄罗斯威胁论”而强化了北约军事联盟的功能,客观上导致欧洲安全已再次分裂的悲剧结局。当亚洲各国迈向区域一体化的进程中,美国正鼓吹“中国威胁论”来强化以美日同盟为核心的亚洲联盟体系,其结果必将导致亚洲安全的分裂。美国强化联盟的“旧思维”不仅恶化了美国国内经济问题解决的国际环境,更因其分裂世界的不良用心而招致越来越多国家的谴责与唾弃。美国的“霸主梦”太执著了,不仅要在传统安全领域内排斥他国,而且还致力于在诸如信息与网络空间等全球公域的新安全领域内划分边界。美国“网络战”、“海空一体化”等战略无不表明其以旧思维看待新世界的痼疾。

美国清醒的智库人士反复提醒当政者,美国强大外交的源泉是尽快恢复经济活力,当下要务是把国内的烂摊子整治好,而不是四处煽风点火。2009年上台初期,美国公众曾期待奥巴马如同罗斯福那样成功将美国带出经济困局。5年多过去,美国经济并未摆脱低迷,政治极端化发展趋势依旧,社会各阶层隔阂加重,在国际上“师爷”作风依然如故。

美国外交的巨大悲剧是决策者习惯性断然拒绝反思。奥巴马上月在西点军校演讲时表示美国要继续领导世界100年。一个实力衰退且沉湎于“旧世界”的美国已给世人带来数不清的纷争,如还要坚持“领导”的话,世界可能要走到悬崖边缘了。美国学着做个“正常国家”难道就那么难吗?

American foreign transcripts gloomy

Li Haidong

Obama served for more than five years, its diplomatic practices the horror of breathtaking: seven years five months of the war in Iraq is a linked to al-qaida's radical anti-government armed occupation of the end of the northern provinces and a closer Iran Iraq government;13 years of war in Afghanistan is had to negotiate with the taliban in the United States and a still hate America Afghanistan;American to denigrate bashar al-aad in Syria high ticket elected President again;Once defined by the United States for “freedom” of the Arab spring movement is in the Middle East, north Africa, west Asia more fierce

anti-american tide;By trying to isolate Ruia and Ukraine crisis between the United

States found that Ruia's go closer;Lack ofhistorical reflection and for aggreively support YouQingHua political forces led by Japan, the strategy of “Asia Pacific rebalancing” to support strategy of Japanese militarism resurrection.The U.S.global chaos seeder “image of” naughty “gradually established, change is difficult.I'm afraid.This disastrous foreign transcript reflects the American power general receion and the rigidity of the strategic thinking.Two wars in the time-consuming, high cost and a financial crisis that has swept the world in fact has been severely eroded its own strength, confirm with Paul? Kennedy in his book the rise and fall of great powers on ”military

over-expansion lead to imperial decline“ destiny theme.In the United States intensified party ”polarization“ scattered more people provided a bad ”democracy model“, and overseas and the prisoner abuse scandal ”prism door“ event, but also substantial

weakening American soft power.Objectively speaking, the United States really to reflect on the basic failure of global diplomacy, and a comprehensive reform of its political and economic system.Security integral countries in the world become a big trend under the background of The Times, the United States still palpable to do the ”dream“ alliance, obstinately tear the world in the security level.Three rounds of NATO expansion over the last 20 years have paed the United States made the Ruian threat ”and strengthen the function of the NATO military alliance, objectively led to the tragedy of the European security has again divided the ending.When Asian countries towards the proce of regional integration, the United States is advocating “China threat” to strengthen the us-japan alliance as the core of the Asian alliance system, the result will certainly lead to Asian security division.Us to strengthen the alliance “old thinking” not only worsen the international environment of domestic economic problems, more because of the bad intention of splitting the world more and more countries to condemn and spit on.America's “king dream” too persistent, not only to exclude other countries within the field of traditional security, but also on the global public domain such as information and network space new border security field.The United States “cyberwar”, “air and integration strategy” all show that the proposed to old thinking view of the world's ills.American think-tank people awake repeatedly reminded, is the source of the powerful foreign resumed as soon as poibleeconomic vitality, the priority is to put the me of domestic regulation, instead of fanning.Early came to power in 2009, the American public had expected Mr Obama as Roosevelt succe will be the United States out of economic dilemma.More than 5 years in the past, the U.S.economy has not get rid

of the downturn, the development trend of political extremes, the gap increase of social each stratums, and to “touts” style in the world remains unchanged.American foreign huge tragedy is policymakers habitual flatly refused to reflection.Obama said in a speech at west point last month the United States will continue to lead the world in 100.A strength decline and indulge in the “old world” of the United States has brought the world countle disputes, such as to adhere to the “leader”, may have to walk to the edge of the cliff in the world.America learn to be a “normal country” isn't so difficult?

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